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Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mateus Alves Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - 07-29-23

By Wojtek Kolan - July 29, 2023

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mochizuki vs Alves analysis and find out who is favored!

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Mochizuki VS Alves PREDICTION Hard

Citi Open - Washington atp

29 Jul 2023 / Q1 round

ODDS

S. Mochizuki

To Win

M. Alves

To Win

Mochizuki Vs Alves Match Overview - When Will They Play?

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mateus Alves Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Mochizuki 0 - 1 Alves

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mochizuki has won 45.58% of points on their second serve, while Alves has won 52.55%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mochizuki, in recent form, has won 50.66% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alves has won 49.57%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.27% and 30.66% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mochizuki has saved 52.8% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alves has saved 60% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mochizuki has won 48.15% of matches played (W/L 26/ 28), with Alves winning 53.33% (W/L 32/ 28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mochizuki has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 59/ 39), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 45% (W/L 13/ 16). Alves has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 85/ 46), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 53% (W/L 97/ 85).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mochizuki has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 50% of matches (W/L 9/ 9), where as Alves has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 48.89% of matches (W/L 22/ 23). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Mochizuki winning 0 times and Alves being victorious 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Mochizuki winning 0 and Alves winning 2. The last match between Mochizuki and Alves was at the M15 Cancun, 23-01-2020, Second, Hard with Mateus Alves getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 0:0:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mochizuki and Alves have played a deciding set 0 times, with Mochizuki winning 0 times and Alves 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Mochizuki winning 0, and Alves 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mochizuki has played against opponents with an average rank of 256.87 while Alves has played against players with an average rank of 303.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mochizuki has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alves has won 29% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player formance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below. Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mochizuki has converted 45.1% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alves has converted 39.77% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Shintaro Mochizuki

1

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

0

Minor

162

Rank

129

High

20

Age

R

Plays

0

Total

1

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

430

Rank

377

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Mateus Alves

4

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

4

Minor

0

Total

1

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L L L W W W L

Form

W W L W W L W L L L

54% (158-132)

Career Total W/L

58% (182-131)

48% (12-13)

YTD W/L

63% (19-11)

$642,550

Career Prize Money

$0

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mochizuki VS Alves H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Shintaro Mochizuki Mateus Alves
All H2H Matches 0 1
Sets Won 0 2
Games Won 6 12
Aces (Total) 0 0
DFs (Total) 0 0
Avg Match Time 0:0:0 0:0:0
1st Serve % 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st Serve Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
2nd Serve Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
BPs Won% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return Points W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)

Mochizuki VS Alves H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Mateus Alves
57% ( 25 of 44)
1st Serve %
61% ( 47 of 77)
6
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
27% ( 12 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
68
Total Points Won
53
6-2 6-4

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Shintaro Mochizuki Mateus Alves
YTD W/L 38% (5/8) 75% (3/1)
Sets Win/Loss 40% (12/18) 75% (6/2)
Games Win/Loss 48% (139/153) 59% (46/32)
Aces pg 0.27 0.82
Aces Total 39 31
DFs per game 0.39 0.13
DFs Total 56 5
Avg Match Time 1:45:36 1:49:45
Avg Opp Rank 216.77 91
1st Serve % 49% (455/935) 65% (139/214)
1st Serve W% 70% (318/455) 82% (114/139)
2nd Serve W% 45% (218/480) 60% (45/75)
BPs Won% Total 43% (41/95) 31% (11/35)
Return Pts W% 40% (365/915) 40% (110/273)
Best of 3 Sets W% 42% (5/12) 75% (3/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 40% (2/5) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 33% (1/3) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 80% (5/4) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 20% (5/1) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 13% (8/1) 0% (1/0)

Shintaro Mochizuki Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
67% ( 93 of 138)
1st Serve %
53% ( 78 of 148)
21
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
11
74% ( 69 of 93)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 51 of 78)
53% ( 24 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 33 of 70)
32% ( 6 of 19)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
33% ( 45 of 138)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 64 of 148)
157
Total Points Won
129
L
4-6 6-3 3-6 6-0 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Facundo Bagnis
60% ( 21 of 35)
1st Serve %
59% ( 19 of 32)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
67% ( 14 of 21)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 5 of 13)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
37% ( 13 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
38
Total Points Won
29
W
6-4 2-0 ret. H2H
Q2
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Stefano Napolitano
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
62% ( 40 of 65)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 6 of 25)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
65
Total Points Won
47
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Nick Hardt
47% ( 48 of 102)
1st Serve %
70% ( 71 of 101)
4
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
8
58% ( 28 of 48)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 37 of 71)
48% ( 26 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
73% ( 8 of 11)
Break Points Won
32% ( 7 of 22)
47% ( 48 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 53 of 101)
107
Total Points Won
96
W
4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Jaime Faria
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
54% ( 37 of 68)
1st Serve %
61% ( 43 of 71)
6
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
5
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 8 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
37% ( 25 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 35 of 71)
78
Total Points Won
61
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Ryan Nijboer
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
51% ( 37 of 72)
1st Serve %
54% ( 36 of 67)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
6
51% ( 19 of 37)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
57% ( 20 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 4 of 4)
46% ( 33 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 34 of 67)
73
Total Points Won
66
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
57% ( 59 of 103)
1st Serve %
54% ( 51 of 95)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
56% ( 33 of 59)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
55% ( 24 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
45% ( 46 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 51 of 95)
108
Total Points Won
90
L
6-0 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Daniel Altmaier
48% ( 35 of 73)
1st Serve %
55% ( 48 of 87)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
66% ( 23 of 35)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 28 of 48)
42% ( 16 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
86% ( 6 of 7)
47% ( 34 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 40 of 87)
79
Total Points Won
81
W
6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Marco Cecchinato
50% ( 57 of 113)
1st Serve %
60% ( 57 of 95)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 38 of 57)
43% ( 24 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
42% ( 47 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 95)
104
Total Points Won
104
W
7-5 3-6 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Francesco Ferrari
52% ( 47 of 90)
1st Serve %
62% ( 53 of 86)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
62% ( 29 of 47)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 30 of 53)
56% ( 24 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
41% ( 37 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 86)
95
Total Points Won
81
W
7-5 4-6 6-2 H2H

Mateus Alves Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Luigi Sorrentino
Player
Mateus Alves
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
64% ( 43 of 67)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 24 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 67)
78
Total Points Won
64
L
7-6(1) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andrea Collarini
Player
Mateus Alves
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve %
64% ( 34 of 53)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
80% ( 8 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 10 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
37
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Norbert Gombos
Player
Mateus Alves
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
2
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 27 of 38)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 62)
70
Total Points Won
54
L
3-6 6-2 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Mateus Alves
Player
Gianmarco Ferrari
65% ( 70 of 108)
1st Serve %
60% ( 58 of 96)
5
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
2
79% ( 55 of 70)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 41 of 58)
37% ( 14 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
36% ( 39 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 34 of 96)
103
Total Points Won
101
W
6-3 3-6 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Player
Mateus Alves
67% ( 8 of 12)
1st Serve %
63% ( 12 of 19)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
63% ( 5 of 8)
1st Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
75% ( 3 of 4)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 13 of 19)
21
Total Points Won
10
L
5-1 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Mateus Alves
Player
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
55% ( 33 of 60)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
74
Total Points Won
56
W
7-6(1) 6-0 H2H
R2
L
w/o H2H
R1
cross
Mateus Alves
Player
Renzo Olivo
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
63% ( 36 of 57)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 21 of 36)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
66
Total Points Won
49
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Daniel Dutra Da Silva
Player
Mateus Alves
67% ( 67 of 100)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 80)
9
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 49 of 67)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 43 of 50)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 32 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 23 of 80)
91
Total Points Won
89
L
4-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Mateus Alves
Player
Quentin Folliot
60% ( 25 of 42)
1st Serve %
60% ( 29 of 48)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
29% ( 12 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
53
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 4-2 ret. H2H

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